Ukraine Part 3

When the war broke out, the two sides were not even close to being equal. In terms of machines, tanks, APC, Artillery, the Russians has a ten to one advantage. Now, the Russians have no machines to use and are sending in men on horses. Shades of war long ago. The Ukes have a problem with this as they really do not like killing innocent horses. So, instead, they drop munitions nearby to scare the horse and hopefully unseat the rider. Once separated, they then target the man and let the horse run free to be collected later by one side or the other.

There are no replacements coming in from outside as no one will sell to Russia and inside they do not have enough parts to make new ones. They used to be able to refurbish the battle damaged but now even that is too hard.

You may have heard about the death of two pilots when their ejector seat malfunctioned and triggered while stationed inside a hanger. The explosion sent both men through the roof, killing them on contact. The equipment is not designed for sustained combat like they are using it for. What they can repair is iffy at best. At worst, deadly.

Manpower. Russi has so many men under arms, so many troops and so many solders that in just sheer numbers they should have won. Well, they might be. Any battle where the causalties are under four to one, better five to one: for ever one Uke hurt or killed, they had better have killed or injured four or five Russians.

Even the Chechens are running out of men to send. Remember this blood bath from a few years ago? Well anyone who could fight was drafted into this war effort and like the rest of Russia, they are tapped out of anyone more to send.

On the opposite side, the Uke have equipment funneling in from Europe and NATO. They have better tech and better intelligence. Many a times, you have manufacturers onside offering to test this system or that bomb for free, all in service of winning the war but they want to get as much information as they can to better the weapons system or use it for selling to other Western governments. Right now, they are using drones and bots to guard from the sky and on the ground. Using heat seeing and inferred veiwing, the machines are killing Russians who enter their killing field. It is entirely possible that many a man from Russia having entered into the machine’s kill range are dying without knowing their killer is nothing but a bot.

Europe and USA emptied out all their old hardware in droves and shipped it to Ukraine. Now with no strategic reserves left, they are ramping up their war effort in factories all over the west to get their strategic reserves back up to normal and send even more to Ukraine.

Ukes are not getting replacements in the numbers they need but they are not losing as many men either. What trickles in from the West are men and women there to take up arms to defend Ukraine. They are committed to the cause unlike Russia who send mercenaries and prisoners to die at the front.

As the war drags on, there is a stalemate on the front line. Russia will attack with overwhelming men. One battle, had 170 000 men on the Russian side, heading towards a line held by less than 10K! So the Ukes retreat until more troops arrive. The other weapons systems, from artillery to drones to jets make Russia pay for every step they take. But with the willingness to slaughter a generation, they keep sending men forward and the Uke keep killing them. They are getting very good at killing them.

Demographics will take 100 years or longer to repair the damage done in 4 years of war to the male population. Russia’s population is 143 million people. NATO combined has a billion people including 40 million Ukes. Something like a seven to one advanatage in just simple population. Was injuries and death will only effect the Ukes and the rest of the NATO countries can keep doing what they have been doing before, during and after this war is over.

Economics, the economy may be so damaged that it may not recover. Post war, there will be no men to work so they have to import men from other countries. The women will naturally marry what is available, not bother to try to find a suitable Russian male as there are none. So they try to sell oil but no money for capital to repair the many step process before it gets to the port, let alone to a new market. People will have looked for other suppliers to get their oil and might be reluctant to seek a new arrangement at Russia is unreliable.

Government spending and borrowing to feed the war effort may take generations before they can lower taxes to anythung pre war. And even then that is iffy.

You may have seen the recent attack on Kyve using hypersonic weapons. This was seen as a warning to the west. Yes, ya sure. I often take a sledge hammer to hit a peanut. The Ukes have nothing that would stop such a weapon. The Americans might but they are not speaking about it. You use such weapons for a reason not to send anyone a message. Their use was a simple message, not of strength but of weakness and how little there is left to fight with. Russia did not use such a weapon to say watch out, they used it because the stock of bombs was gone and all they had left was this.

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